More Netflix, More Murder?!

r ≈ 84% positive

Netflix Global Subscribers vs Homicide Rate

As Netflix subscribers climbed, global homicide rates climbed with them. Turns out binging true crime isn't just watching. Dahmer might be a how-to guide.

“Every new season of Ozark corresponds to a measurable spike in suburban felony charges. Coincidence? We don't think so.”

— Dr. Nielsen Slayer, Criminologist

Why this correlation is stupid

The numbers above are real. Public data on Netflix Global Subscribers and Homicide Rate happens to move in lockstep closely enough to produce r ≈ 84% (positive) — a value high enough that, in a less skeptical world, someone would file a Substack post about it. Here, it earns a chart and a chuckle.

Statisticians call this a spurious correlation: two trends that share a shape without sharing a cause. With enough variables tracked over enough years, you can find pairings like this one between almost any two phenomena. Confounding factors, common drivers (population growth, smartphone adoption, the unstoppable march of time), or pure chance can all make graphs hold hands.

Source data is drawn from public datasets. We do not endorse any causal claim — only the comedic one.

This correlation belongs on a wall, a mug, or a t-shirt. Pick your poison:

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