TikTok Cured Binge Eating

r ≈ 76% negative

Nathan's Hot Dog Contest Winning Count vs TikTok Monthly Active Users

As TikTok users surged, competitive eating records fell. It is hard to swallow seventy-two hot dogs while filming a GRWM. Joey Chestnut was beaten by the algorithm.

“Short-form video has made sustained consumption biomechanically impossible. You cannot Renegade with a stuffed esophagus.”

— Dr. Mukbang Scroll, Behavioral Nutritionist

Why this correlation is stupid

The numbers above are real. Public data on Nathan's Hot Dog Contest Winning Count and TikTok Monthly Active Users happens to move inversely closely enough to produce r ≈ 76% (negative) — a value high enough that, in a less skeptical world, someone would file a Substack post about it. Here, it earns a chart and a chuckle.

Statisticians call this a spurious correlation: two trends that share a shape without sharing a cause. With enough variables tracked over enough years, you can find pairings like this one between almost any two phenomena. Confounding factors, common drivers (population growth, smartphone adoption, the unstoppable march of time), or pure chance can all make graphs hold hands.

Source data is drawn from public datasets. We do not endorse any causal claim — only the comedic one.

This correlation belongs on a wall, a mug, or a t-shirt. Pick your poison:

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